AFL Live Carlton Blues vs Brisbane Lions Stream AFL Football 2016 Online, AFL Round 11 Match will be kick off at Etihad Stadium, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Saturday 04 June 2016 online, 14.10 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
Carlton continues to surprise, while Brisbane continue to disappoint. Both will see this as a winnable game.
Carlton are defying all expectations, and have now won five of their last six games after starting the season with four losses in a row. The wins have been even more substantial given the injury toll has mounted as they’ve gone along, none more impressive than against Geelong last week.
Brisbane have lost six in a row, mainly defined by capitulations following an honourable loss to Sydney. In the four subsequent games, against Port, Collingwood, Melbourne and Hawthorn, the Lions have lost by an average of eleven goals.
The teams are split 5-5 over their last 10 meetings, but Brisbane have won the last three including last year at Etihad Stadium. Prior to those three, Carlton had won five in a row.
Brisbane have played eight games at Etihad under Justin Leppitsch, starting underdog in all of them, but winning three, the only three times they have covered the spread. Their wins have come starting between $2.15 – $3.55.
Since the start of 2014, the Blues winning record at Etihad is 48% (+27% POT, 67% ATS). Away from Etihad it is 21% (-39% POT, 52% ATS). They have covered the spread in six of the last seven rounds.
Results over the last six weeks suggest a comfortable Carlton victory coming up, given the Blues have five wins and the Lions have none.
But Carlton’s least impressive win was the only time they’ve started favourite this year, when they struggled to put Essendon away in the poorest standard AFL game seen for many a season. Sides that have been down the bottom can struggle to handle favouritism when it comes about. And Brisbane does have good recent form against them, and has proven they can win at Etihad when they get the chance.
The Blues will be missing their skipper Marc Murphy, while the Lions will regain theirs, in Tom Rockliff. This one might not be as obvious as it looks.
B: Z.Tuohy, S.Rowe, J.Weitering
HB: D.Thomas, L.Plowman, S.White
C: S.Docherty, P.Cripps, E.Curnow
HF: J.Lamb, L.Casboult, M.Wright
F: S.Kerridge, A.Walker, A.Everitt
Foll: M.Kreuzer, N.Graham, B.Gibbs
Int: C.Byrne, D.Gorringe, K.Simpson, D.Armfield
Emg: A.Phillips, K.Jaksch, J.Tutt
Ins: N.Graham, C.Byrne
Outs: L.Sumner, M.Murphy
B: R.Harwood, D.Merrett, J.Paine
HB: D.Rich, D.McStay, S.Mayes
C: T.Rockliff, A.Christensen, T.Bell
HF: P.Hanley, L.Taylor, N.Robertson
F: T.West, J.Schache, R.Bastinac
Foll: S.Martin, D.Zorko, M.Robinson
Int: B.Keays, J.Jansen, T.Cutler, J.Freeman
Emg: C.Beams, J.Clayton, R.Mathieson
Ins: T.Rockliff, J.Jansen
Outs: R.Lester, R.Mathieson