AFL Live Carlton Blues vs Essendon Bombers Stream AFL Football 2016 Online, AFL Round 06 Match will be kick off at MCG Stadium, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Sunday 01 May 2016 online, 15.20 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
The Blues are on a high after their first win of the year, while the Bombers are low after suffering their worst loss.
Brendon Bolton would no doubt have stuck with the same line-up that overcame Fremantle, but he’s lost Dylan Buckley to a calf injury and Charlie Curnow to illness. Nick Graham, Dennis Armfield and Simon White shape as potential replacements.
John Worsfold may give the 22 from ANZAC day the chance to redeem themselves after a listless performance.
Carlton have been going along okay, given there is no question they are a bottom three or four side. Their last six quarters of football have been their best of the year, as they start to bed in the Brendon Bolton structure. A win over in Perth was just reward for effort.
Essendon are going to mix good and bad, and are struggling to put up two consistent performances in a row. They responded to their last down game, against Port, by pushing Geelong for long periods. Against Collingwood last week they were non-competitive for a half.
Essendon leads the head-to-head battle 5-3 over the last 10 meetings, with two draws in there. Carlton hasn’t beaten the Bombers since 2012.
Carlton has only won five of the last ten games they’ve started $1.60 or shorter, at -31% POT. Essendon are +35% POT when starting at $2.60 or longer in the last five years.
In MCG matches since 2012, the Blues are -13% POT, 57% ATS and 60% at the over, while the Bombers are +38% POT, 55% ATS and 36% at the under.
Match-ups between bottom sides can contain as much interest to the neutral observer as those between those at the top. When wins are few and far between as they are likely to be for teams like Carlton and Essendon, victory is all the more hard-fought, and sweeter for it.
Cripps, Murphy and Gibbs vs Zaharakis, Merrett and Goddard will be crucial through the middle, and the test for the Blues will be to maintain patience if the Bombers start controlling the ball through possession as they’ll try to do.
Both forward-lines struggle to score, and the side that is more efficient and effective with their opportunities will be the winner. Given that neither side is likely to be consistent week-to-week this year, Essendon look over the odds.
B J.Weitering, L.Plowman, K.Simpson
HB Z.Tuohy, S.Rowe, D.Thomas
C C.Byrne, P.Cripps, S.Docherty
HF B.Gibbs, L.Jones, M.Wright
F J.Lamb, L.Casboult, L.Sumner
Foll M.Kreuzer, S.Kerridge, M.Murphy
I/C: D.Armfield, E.Curnow, N.Graham, A.Phillips,
IN D.Armfield, N.Graham
OUT C.Curnow (ill), D.Buckley (calf)
B A.McDonald-Tipungwuti, J.Gwilt, M.Baguley
HB C.Dempsey, M.Hartley, J.Kelly
C O.Fantasia, D.Zaharakis, B.Goddard
HF M.Stokes, M.Brown, A.Cooney
F S.Grimley, J.Daniher, D.Parish
Foll M.Leuenberger, Z.Merrett, C.Bird
Inter: K.Langford, M.Dea, R.Crowley, J.Polkinghorne
IN R.Crowley, J.Simpkin, J.Polkinghorne
OUT: C.Bird, M.Gleeson, C.McKenna
New: James Polkinghorne