Australian Football League Live Adelaide Crows vs Fremantle Dockers Stream AFL 2016 Seasons Week 06 match will be kick off at Adelaide Oval Stadium, North Adelaide, South Australia, Australia, Saturday 30 April 2016 online, 14.10 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
The Crows are probably playing the best football in the competition, and Fremantle arguably the worst.
The in-form Adelaide make no changes, while Fremantle lose two of their best in Nat Fyfe and Michael Johnson. Dockers skipper David Mundy makes his return, while Connor Blakely plays his second ever game, and his first this season. Ross Lyon is having a look at his youth during the Freo crisis.
Adelaide may be 3-2 and sitting outside the eight, but they are arguably playing the best football in the competition, with their losses coming to the undefeated North by 10 points and the triple premiers Hawthorn by three points, both away from home.
Fremantle are in a special kind of purgatory, having gone from 2015 hero to 2016 zero before they’ve even known what’s hit them, and losing key players by the week too. They’re playing a punch-drunk style of football, because that’s indeed what they are.
Lachie Neale is the man to watch in this game and thrived in the absence of Nat Fyfe last year. In the last three games Fyfe missed, Neale had 38, 39 and 34 touches and is coming off 35 touches in his last two games. He’s paying ‘triple your money’ to take out group A and even at the odds of $3, he’s still a bargain. If you want to make the start of your night ultra-exciting and chase some odds, then have a little bit of your pocket money on Rory Sloane for the first goal ($26). Carlton’s midfield kicked a lot goals last week against the Dockers with Thomas (3.0), Gibbs (1.2) and Murphy (1.1) kicking half the team’s goals.
Fremantle have won their last four over Adelaide, for a 6-4 record against them in their last ten matches. The Dockers have won their last two in Adelaide against the Crows.
Freo are one of only two 0-5 teams ATS in the comp. Adelaide are the only side 5-0 ATS, and one of two to be 5-0 at the over. The Crows are 12% POT, 64% ATS and 64% at the over in games at Adelaide Oval. The Dockers have played there three times for a win over the Crows and two losses to the Power.
Freo are 49% ATS when travelling under Ross Lyon, and have only had a points start of greater than 50 points once under him, when they rested most of their first choice players.
Based purely on what we’ve seen so far in 2016, there’s no question Adelaide will be winning this with a level of comfort, given there is now obvious way for Fremantle to handle the Crows scoring power, especially now they’ve lost their best key defender.
If the Dockers are to have any chance, they have to win the midfield battle, lock the ball in their forward-line, and hope Walters and Ballantyne can have a day out.
B: L.Brown, K.Hartigan, J.Lever
HB: R.Laird, D.Talia, D.Mackay
C: P.Seedsman, S.Thompson, B.Smith
HF: T.Lynch, J.Jenkins, M.Crouch
F: E.Betts, T.Walker, C.Cameron
Foll: S.Jacobs, R.Sloane, R.Douglas
I/C: R.Atkins, K.Cheney, J.Lyons, M.McGovern
EMG: C.Ellis-Yolmen, W.Milera, R.Henderson
B: C.Sutcliffe, Z.Dawson, L.Spurr
HB: S.Hill, A.Pearce, T.Sheridan
C: L.Weller, M.Barlow, D.Pearce
HF: B.Grey, M.Pavlich, H.Ballantyne
F: M.Walters, C.Mayne, M.Taberner
Foll: J.Griffin, D.Mundy, L.Neale
I/C: H.Crozier, D.Tucker, C.Blakely, Z.Clarke
EMG: M.De Boer, T.Mzungu, E.Langdon
INS: D.Mundy, C.Blakely
OUTS: M.Johnson (knee), N.Fyfe (leg)