Australian Football League Live Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats Stream AFL 2016 Seasons Week 08 match will be kick off at Adelaide Oval Stadium, North Adelaide, South Australia, Australia, Friday 13 May 2016 online, 19.50 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
Adelaide need to firm up their position in the eight, while Geelong are looking to consolidate a top two spot.
Adelaide continue to be one of the form sides of the competition, but have now lost two of their past three. All three of their losses, to North, Hawthorn and the Bulldogs, have been close, to good sides, and in Melbourne. The missed the precision of Rory Laird in the back half last week, unable to penetrate the Dogs forward press.
Geelong have now posted five wins in a row, but against teams of questionable quality, including beating up on three non-Victorian sides down at the Cattery. Still, they’re getting the job done in style, but now face arguably their toughest test of the season so far.
Geelong are up 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, but results are 3-2 to the Cats from the last five, with all of those going the way of the home side.
Adelaide are undefeated at Adelaide Oval from three matches this year, and are undefeated in their last eight games at the venue. They have covered the line in seven of these eight games.
Geelong has won two from three games at Adelaide Oval, all against Port. Since the start of 2012, the Cats have 11 wins from 24 matches, at -28% POT and 38% ATS. These numbers drop to -41% POT and 29% ATS when they start at $2 or less.
Geelong have been in dominant form against weak sides, but are they really a team that deserves to be 7-1? They’ve only played one of the other “form” top six sides in the competition, GWS, and lost that game. They are also a poor travelling side, and have consistently underwhelmed when in the market.
Adelaide are better than their current 4-3 record indicates, will be desperate to enhance their standing, and will enjoy the chance to play a fellow contender on their home turf. The last time they played a strong side there, they inflicted Sydney’s only defeat so far in 2016.
The stats, both recent and against each other, and formlines say Adelaide are over the odds, and if they can minimise the damage of Dangerfield and Selwood, the Crows forwards can kick a winning score against the Cats backline.
B: J.Lever, K.Hartigan, R.Henderson
HB: L.Brown, D.Talia, K.Cheney
C: B.Smith, R.Sloane, P.Seedsman
HF: B.Crouch, T.Lynch, C.Cameron
F: E.Betts, T.Walker, J.Jenkins
Foll: S.Jacobs, S.Thompson, R.Douglas
I/C: R.Atkins, W.Milera, M.McGovern, M.Crouch
Emg: N.Van Berlo, C.Ellis-Yolmen, J.Lyons
Outs: D.Mackay (hamstring)
B: L.Henderson, T.Lonergan, C.Enright
HB: A.Mackie, H.Taylor, T.Ruggles
C: S.Motlop, J.Selwood, M.Duncan
HF: J.Bartel, S.Kersten, D.Lang
F: J.Caddy, T.Hawkins, D.Menzel
Foll: R.Stanley, M.Blicavs, P.Dangerfield
I/C: J.Bews, C.Gregson, C.Guthrie, Z.Smith
Emg: B.Smedts, N.Vardy, G.Horlin-Smith
Ins: J.Bews, C.Gregson
Outs: L.McCarthy (ankle), N.Cockatoo (knee)