Australian Football League Live Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants Stream AFL 2016 Seasons Week 10 match will be kick off at Adelaide Oval Stadium, North Adelaide, South Australia, Australia, Saturday 28 May 2016 online, 19.40 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
GWS will attempt to further bolster their top four credentials, while a loss for Adelaide might cost them a spot in the eight.
Adelaide welcomed the chance for an easy victory against the Gold Coast last week, able to flex their muscle after a tough opening draw. Previously, losses to Geelong and the Western Bulldogs were respectable, but they need to beat a contender now.
GWS are the hottest team in the competition, playing the most attractive and arrogant football of any side. In the last month, the Dogs have been summoned and despatched, the Suns crushed, the Dockers dismissed, and Hawthorn were flat-out executed.
Adelaide and GWS have played six times, with the Crows leading 5-1, but the Giants won last years clash.
The Giants have only played Adelaide Oval twice, and are yet to win there. They have won four times interstate this year already, after only doing so four times for the whole of 2015. They have started $2 or less in 13 interstate matches under Leon Cameron, for 7 wins at -18% POT and 38% ATS.
The Crows have only covered the spread once in their last four matches, after opening the season by covering it five matches in a row. They are 13 from 17 at Adelaide Oval since the start of 2014, at 11% POT and 65% ATS.
How can Heath Shaw be paying $6 to have the most touches after averaging 31 touches over the last month? He had 38 possessions last week and although he most likely won’t reach that again, at $6 he’s too much value to ignore. Scott Thompson ($5) has been down on form but he might tackle his way back into some on Saturday night. He has the ability to go double figures in this category and on his home ground, under lights, he’ll give it a fair shake.
GWS are playing the best football of any side in the competition, and clearly so. Their wins over Hawthorn and the Bulldogs have been clearly the heaviest defeats those sides have suffered, both in margin and the run of play.
Adelaide are better than their win-loss record indicates, but will probably find themselves out of the eight if they can’t win this match, and their top four chances will be all but shot. They are very tough to beat at home, which is why the odds are rightfully so close together, but best to side with the team playing the best football in that regard.
B: J.Lever, D.Talia, K.Cheney
HB: L.Brown, K.Hartigan, N.Van Berlo
C: B.Smith, S.Thompson, R.Atkins
HF: W.Milera, T.Lynch, M.McGovern
F: E.Betts, T.Walker, J.Jenkins
Foll: S.Jacobs, R.Sloane, J.Lyons
Int: P.Seedsman, C.Cameron, R.Douglas, R.Henderson
Emerg: B.Crouch, M.Crouch, J.Kelly
B: A.Tomlinson, J.Patfull, Z.Williams
HB: N.Wilson, N.Haynes, H.Shaw
C: A.Kennedy, C.Ward, T.Greene
HF: S.Johnson, R.Lobb, J.Patton
F: R.Palmer, J.Cameron, S.Coniglio
Foll: S.Mumford, J.Kelly, J.Hopper
Int: D.Shiel, T.Scully, L.Whitfield, J.Steele
Emerg: M.Kennedy, J.Finlayson, S.Reid
INS: A.Tomlinson, J.Steele
SUNS: M.Buntine (concussion), T.Mohr (hamstring)