Australian Football League Live Fremantle Dockers vs Essendon Bombers Stream AFL 2016 Seasons Week 11 match will be kick off at Subiaco Oval Stadium, Subiaco, Western Australia, Australia, Saturday 04 June 2016 online, 19.40 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
Both teams are a long time between wins, but just how hard will they be seeking one out?
Fremantle are infamously still winless, but have actually been in winning positions late in several games. In recent matches, they have forced GWS to grind out a win over them, pushed Hawthorn for a half, didn’t give a yelp against Richmond and played some of their best football against St Kilda.
Essendon’s losing drought is the second longest behind Fremantle, with eight losses in a row. They were gallant but never threatened against the Tigers last round, and St Kilda accounted for them comfortably the week before, whe the Dons couldn’t even win a quarter.
Fremantle leads 6-4 in the last ten matches, but they have only played once a year for the last six years, five of them at Domain Stadium. Freo leads that count 4-2.
The Dockers have lost their last six at Domain Stadium, and have only covered the spread once in their last seven matches there. Seven of their last eight games at Domain have gone under the total match score.
Essendon has only covered the spread once in the last six matches. They have lost their last nine interstate matches, covering the spread three times. 75% of their last 12 interstate matches have been over the total match score.
Looking at football results relative to each other often doesn’t work out, but these two sides have both played North, Carlton, St Kilda, Geelong and Richmond, and the respective losing margins of Freo and Essendon haven’t been too far apart each time. If we use that as the basis, there isn’t a lot between the two teams, or at least not as much as the odds are suggesting.
The Dockers will rely on Walters and Ballantyne to kick them a winning score, and perhaps Matthew Taberner can finally stand up. Essendon will try and control the ball, and not allow Freo easy inside fifty’s.
It doesn’t promise to be a high-scoring game, and it should be a tight affair.
B: S.Collins, Z.Dawson, L.Spurr
HB: D.Pearce, D.Mundy, C.Sutcliffe
C: H.Crozier, N.Suban, C.Blakely
HF: M.Barlow, M.Taberner, M.Walters
F: C.Mayne, M.Pavlich, H.Ballantyne
Foll: J.Griffin, S.Hill, L.Neale
Int: T.Sheridan, L.Weller, D.Tucker, M.Apeness
Emg: E.Langdon, M.de Boer, T.Mzungu
Ins: D.Mundy, D.Tucker, M.Apeness
Outs: G.Ibbotson, M.de Boer, E.Langdon
B: C.Dempsey, P.Ambrose, S.Edwards
HB: A.McDonald-Tipungwuti, J.Gwilt, M.Dea
C: J.Merrett, D.Zaharakis, W.Hams
HF: B.Goddard, M.Brown, D.Parish
F: M.Baguley, J.Daniher, A.Cooney
Foll: M.Leuenberger, R.Crowley, O.Fantasia
Int: Z.Merrett, M.Gleeson, C.Bird, K.Langford
Emg: J.Polkinghorne, M.Jamar, S.Michael
Ins: J.Merrett, W.Hams, M.Leuenberger
Outs: M.Hartley, M.Jamar, J.Kelly