Australian Football League Live North Melbourne Kangaroos vs St Kilda Saints Stream AFL 2016 Seasons Week 19 match will be kickoff at Etihad Stadium, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Saturday 30 July 2016 online, 19.25 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
North was able to fend off one challenger for their eighth spot last week, and now face another.
North recorded a drought-breaking win over Collingwood last week, which followed five losses in a row, to Port, West Coast, Adelaide, Hawthorn and Geelong, as injuries cruelled the aging side.
St Kilda have won seven of their last nine matches, with the losses to Gold Coast at Metricon and the Crows at Adelaide Oval. Wins over Geelong and the Bulldogs have helped establish their bona fides.
North have won five in a row against St Kilda, after the Saints had won the previous four. North are the last team to beat St Kilda at Etihad. North are seven from 10 at Etihad this season, at +23% POT, 60% ATS and 70% at the under. At the ground against Victorian sides they are +37% POT and 71% ATS.
St Kilda have won seven matches in a row at Etihad, covering the line in six of them. Four of St Kilda’s last five wins have been as underdog. They have won six matches as underdog this season, ranked #1.
I’m slightly worried about Jack Steven in this game based on the fact that the Roos in round 7, focused on stopping him at all costs holding him to 15 touches. He’ll be tagged by Gibson this time and therefore I’m looking at Daniel Wells ($7) to have the most touches as I chase some value. Wells had 29 last week and is even paying $2.40 to crack the 30+ mark. Leigh Montagna had 34 possessions for 109pts early in the year against the Roos and is paying $2.30 to reach the 30 mark again, and $7 to have the most points.
St Kilda are one of the hottest sides in the competition at the moment, particularly under the roof of Etihad where they are in a rare groove. Their pressure and speed is a trademark, turning the ball over and moving it quickly to an open and functioning forward-line.
North don’t lack for toughness, but do for foot-pace, which may get exposed on the counter. The Roos were finally able to hit the scoreboard last week, while the Saints have been able to keep teams under control and will fancy themselves again.
It would be understandable for North to be very slight favourites, but the odds look too skewed towards them based on early season form, rather than events of recent times.
North Melbourne Kangaroos:
B: S.Thompson, M.Firrito, S.Atley
HB: J.Macmillan, R.Tarrant, N.Dal Santo
C: S.Gibson, D.Wells, R.Clarke
HF: J.Ziebell, B.Brown, B.Harvey
F: L.Thomas, D.Petrie, J.Waite
R: T.Goldstein, B.Cunnington, A.Swallow,
I/C: B.McKenzie, J.Anderson, T.Dumont, A.Mullett 17
EMG: M.Daw, C.Wagner, D.Mountford
OUT: M.Daw (Omitted)
St Kilda Saints:
B: D.Roberton, S.Dempster, J.Geary
HB: J.Newnes, S.Gilbert, D.McKenzie
C: S.Savage, S.Ross, L.Montagna
HF: M.Weller, N.Riewoldt, J.Billings
F: T.Membrey, J.Bruce, J.Gresham
R: T.Hickey, D.Armitage, J.Steven
I/C: L.Dunstan, B.Acres, N.Wright, D.Minchington
EMG: E.Templeton, L.Delaney, J.Sinclair
OUT: J.Sinclair (Omitted)