Australian Football League Live Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos Stream AFL 2015 Seasons Week 23 math will be kick off at Etihad Stadium, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Friday 04 September 2015 online, 19.50 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
This is likely to be a pre-curser to an elimination final match-up between these two sides next week. North have taken the radical step of resting their players in order for them to be cherry-ripe for next week which has seen the line move from -23.5 to -48.5
North have made nine changes to their side from last week meaning 11 of their best 22 will be missing for this game including ruckman Todd Goldstein and key midfieldrs Nick Dal Santo, Ben Cunnington and Andrew Swallow. For the Tigers, they are still likely to be without Reece Conca and Ben Griffiths with Trent Cotchin returning at the expense of Matt Thomas.
The Roos lost their first game for eight weeks against the Dogs last week to be eighth on the ladder. North is 3-6 both head-to-head and ATL against top eight teams so far this season, they are averaging 106 points per game over the last eight weeks. The Tigers did enough in trying conditions against the Bombers last week to make it a three game winning streak. They can finish fourth if Sydney lose to Gold Coast and the Tigers win and make up a little percentage. Richmond is 5-2 (4-3 against the line) vs top eight teams this season.
North Melbourne has won five in a row against Richmond. Since 2010, North is 6-1 head-to-head and against the line vs the Tigers. Richmond is 13-11-1 (14-11 against the line) in Thursday or Friday night matches since 2010. North is 6-6 (6-6 against the line) on Friday night’s since the start of 2013. The Tigers are 8-10 (10-8 against the line) at Etihad Stadium under Damian Hardwick. North Melbourne is 46-28 (45-29 ATL) since 2010 at Etihad Stadium – they’re 13-8 (10-11) in 2014-15. The last six match-ups have finished with a total of over 182-points and an average of 202-pts. Drew Petrie has kicked 23 goals in his last six games against Richmond. Richmond forward Ty Vickery has kicked 12 goals in his past three games. Richmond is 16-7 (11-12 against the line) when starting as favourite in 2014-15. North Melbourne is 11-2 both head to head and against the line following a loss in 2014-15. Jack Riewoldt has kicked the first goal in four games this year which is tied with the most of any player this year. Brandon Ellis has had the most disposals in a match six times this season.
In 2015 – Richmond is 8-1 when leading at quarter-time, 11-2 when leading at half time and 12-1 when leading at three-quarter time. The Tigers are one of just six sides who have not lost after leading by four goals this season (11-0), conversely they have the best percentage when trailing by 24-points going 2-5. Richmond has the second best winning percentage when trailing at quarter-time going winning six out of the 11 times this year. North are just one of five teams who have not lost when they are leading at three-quarter time this year (12-0) whilst they have come from behind just once at the final change (1-8). In summary, if the Tigers go down early, don’t stress as they have shown the ability to come from behind.
The more The Wolf thinks about this game, the more the total match points line seems to be the bet. Traditionally, these two have played high scoring games in recent times and despite North being without half of their best 22, the game should be free-flowing. With a plethora of options in attack and Richmond still a chance to make top four, they will be desperate to win, and win well. The fringe Roos who have come in this week will be looking to push their claims for some finals action and they play their best footy when they get back in numbers to support in defence and run the ball through the middle which is great for a high scoring game. Expect this to become a shoot-out and the total to be covered with ease.
B: C.Newman, J.Batchelor, T.Chaplin
HB: N.Vlastuin, A.Rance, B.Houli
C: B.Ellis, B.Deledio, T.Hunt
HF: K.McIntosh, T.Vickery, D.Martin
F: T.Cotchin, J.Riewoldt, S.Edwards
Foll: I.Maric, S.Grigg, K.Lambert
Inter: D.Grimes, A.Miles, B.Lennon, S.Lloyd
Emer: S.Morris, D.Astbury, M.Dea
North Melbourne Kangaroos:
B: J.Tippett, R.Tarrant, S.Atley
HB: L.McDonald, L.Hansen, J.Macmillan
C: S.Gibson, J.Ziebell, T.Dumont
HF: M.Wood, D.Petrie, T.Garner
F: B.Harvey, M.Daw, R.Nahas
Foll: B.Brown, R.Bastinac, B.Jacobs
Inter: B.McKenzie, A.Black, K.Turner, A.Mullett
Emer: D.Currie, K.Harper, S.McMahon
In: M.Daw, M.Wood, T.Dumont, L.McDonald, J.Tippett, B.McKenzie, A.Black, K.Turner, A.Mullett
Out: N.Dal Santo (managed), J.Waite (managed), M.Firrito (knee), A.Swallow (knee), S.Higgins (knee), T.Goldstein (managed), S.Wright (knee), B.Cunnington (knee), S.Thompson (ankle)