Australian Football League Live Western Bulldogs vs North Melbourne Kangaroos Stream AFL 2016 Seasons Week 20 match will be kickoff at Etihad Stadium, Docklands, Victoria, Australia, Saturday 06 August 2016 online, 19.25 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
Both sides are under pressure due to injury, and the loser may forfeit rights to a home final.
The Dogs have lost their last two matches as injuries are starting to take their toll, unable to beat St Kilda and losing to Geelong in game fashion. Prior to that, they had won their previous three games.
North have taken advantage of a couple of easier weeks after a previous tough draw, beating Collingwood and St Kilda to put some momentum back into their season.
North are up 6-4 in their last 10 meetings, and have won five of the last six matches between the sides, including in Round 6 earlier this year. All of these matches have been at Etihad Stadium.
The Dogs are league #1 in under total match points this season, and 10 of their 11 Etihad matches have gone under. They are -11% POT and 55% ATS at the ground this year.
North are +23% POT, 60% ATS and 70% at the under at Etihad this season. The Roos have covered the line twice from seven matches against fellow top eight sides, while the Dogs have done it four times from seven.
It’s time we get back on the ‘Lachie Hunter Train”. At $4.50 for most touches he is is value this week under the Etihad roof. He had 44 touches on the Roos in round 6 and although we can’t expect that, anything in the mid to low 30’s will win us the coin here. Matthew Boyd ($5) is back and worth a look in the Fantasy market. If he gets loose across half back (which he will) then he should clock up some easy points and is even paying a solid $4 for most marks.
North has been backed into favouritism thanks to constant media about the Dogs injury list, but the Roos are missing seven of their own best 22, so this match is very much a war of attrition.
North have found some kind of rhythm against a couple of weaker sides, and look ready to meet a sterner test now. The Dogs were out-matched and out-classed against Geelong last week, but not out-toughed. If they can apply that kind of heat to a North expected to win, they can more than hold their own.
This is the kind of match where whichever team ended up underdog would be the one worth backing at some value odds.
B: D.Morris, F.Roberts, E.Wood
HB: J.Johannisen, J.Hamling, M.Boyd
C: L.Hunter, M.Bontempelli, L.Picken
HF: L.Jong, J.Stringer, C.Smith
F: T.Dickson, T.Boyd, C.Daniel
R: J.Roughead, L.Dahlhaus, J.Dunkley
I/C: N.Hrovat, Z.Cordy, L.Webb, S.Biggs
EMG: T.McLean, W.Minson, B.Dale
IN: M.Boyd, D.Morris, N.Hrovat, L.Webb
OUT: J.Adcock, K.Stevens, T.Liberatore, J.Macrae
North Melbourne Kangaroos:
B: S.Thompson, M.Firrito, A.Mullett
HB: J.Macmillan, R.Tarrant, N.Dal Santo
C: S.Gibson, D.Wells, R.Clarke
HF: L.Thomas, B.Brown, B.Harvey
F: J.Anderson, D.Petrie, J.Ziebell
R: T.Goldstein, A.Swallow, T.Dumont
I/C: B.McKenzie, B.Cunnington, S.Atley, M.Daw
EMG: L.Hansen, C.Wagner, D.Mountford