Australian Football League Live Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne kangaroos Stream AFL 2016 Seasons Week 05 match will be kick off at Metricon Stadium, Carrara, Queensland, Australia, Saturday 23 April 2016 online, 16.35 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
The Suns were outshone in the Q-Clash last week, while North are the only unbeaten team left.
Gold Coast have changed almost a quarter of their side following last week’s loss. Daniel Currie takes over ruck duties from Tom Nicholls, Peter Wright gets another chance to support Tom Lynch at the expense of Keegan Brooksby, and Jarrad Grant comes in as a versatile forward for Ryan Davis. Key runner Dion Prestia is missing through illness, and key defender Steven May through suspension. Luke Russell and Trent McKenzie come in.
Gold Coast had their bubble burst by Brisbane last week, after stringing together three wins against lowly Essendon, Fremantle and Gold Coast. They are going to find their level, which will probably be in the 9th-12th range on the ladder, or even a spot or two lower.
North are yet to drop a game, accounting for Adelaide, Brisbane, Melbourne and Fremantle in the opening month of the season. They are the highest scoring team in the competition and are presented with a golden chance to start the season 5-0 and shore up a top four finishing position.
Gold Coast has won their last three matches against North, once in each of 2013, 2014 and 2015, all years when the Roos finished on top of the Suns on the ladder.
Gold Coast is +13% POT and 60% ATS at Metricon since 2013. North Melbourne is -31% POT and 37% ATS when travelling since 2012. North has won 6 of 11 when starting at $1.60 or shorter when interstate in this time, but they have won their last five interstate matches when starting as favourite.
The recent history between these teams, and the betting statistics clearly identify Gold Coast as a value proposition. Every now and then we see a match-up where a supposedly inferior team consistently “has the wood” on their more fancied opposition.
If North are ever going to defy this bogey trend, this looks an ideal time given that the Suns are missing their two best key defenders in Steven May and Rory Thompson, and the tall North forward line is playing with rare potency. Jarrad Waite has always ripped apart third string defenders, and by definition here he will be getting one to stand him.
But, the Roos might be due to put in a flat one, and the Suns will want to bounce back. An upset is on the cards if North don’t bring their best, but they look a mature outfit this year.
Gold Coast Suns:
B: M.Rosa, S.Day, A.Saad
HB: A.Sexton, T.McKenzie, K.Kolodjashnij
C: N.Malceski, G.Ablett, J.Harbrow
HF: C.Cameron, T.Lynch, J.Martin
F: T.Miller, P.Wright, J.Grant
Foll: D.Currie, M.Rischitelli, A.Hall
I/C: L.Russell, C.Ah Chee, S.Lemmens, J.Lonergan
EMG: H.Schade, B.Matera, M.Willis
IN: T.McKenzie, P.Wright, J.Grant, D.Currie, L.Russell
OUT: K.Brooksby, S.May (suspended), T.Nicholls, D.Prestia (ill), R.Davis (rested)
NEW: Jarrad Grant (Western Bulldogs), Daniel Currie (North Melbourne)
North Melbourne kangaroos:
B: M.Firrito, R.Tarrant, L.McDonald
HB: J.Macmillan, S.Thompson, S.Atley
C: S.Gibson, D.Wells, N.Dal Santo
HF: B.Brown, J.Waite, J.Ziebell
F: B.Harvey, D.Petrie, S.Higgins
Foll: T.Goldstein, B.Cunnington, A.Swallow
I/C: L.Thomas, B.Jacobs, M.Wood, S.Wright
EMG: L.Hansen, A.Mullett, K.Turner