Australian Football League Live Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers Stream AFL 2016 Seasons Week 08 match will be kick off at Aurora Stadium, Invermay, Tasmania, Australia, Saturday 14 May 2016 online, 14.10 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
Hawthorn bounced back to winning form last week, while Fremantle are yet to experience victory at all this season.
Hawthorn bounced back after a humiliating loss to GWS with a strong win against Richmond despite missing prime movers Sam Mitchell and Luke Hodge, accelerating away late thanks to big contributions from their small forwards. They’re still not at their best though.
Fremantle has been battling valiantly against superior sides in recent weeks, apart from the disastrous loss to Carlton in Round 5. In the absence of key players Nat Fyfe, Aaron Sandilands and Michael Johnson, they just haven’t had the class to go with the likes of North, Adelaide or GWS.
Sam Mitchell is paying $2.50 to have the most touches. He had 35 and 39 against them last year and jump on him to have over 30 as well, just for safety. Lachie Neale is his main danger, but he is ‘scared’ of the Hawks and only found the ball 22 and 20 times against them last year. Mitchell is averaging 34 a game this year and this is the easiest bet you’ll have this weekend. Thank me later.
Hawthorn are 8-2 over Fremantle in the last 10, including three wins at this venue by an average of 57 points.
Since 2012, the Hawks are 15 from 16 at Aurora Stadium and 69% ATS. They are 73% ATS and 64% at the over there against non-Victorian sides. They’ve only covered the line once in the last four rounds.
Fremantle are 50% ATS when travelling under Ross Lyon. They’re yet to cover the spread against Hawthorn at Aurora Stadium from three tries. They’ve covered the line the last two rounds after not doing so at all in the first five weeks of the year.
Hawthorn are not travelling anywhere near like a side capable of finishing top four, struggling to shake off a weak Richmond last round, but they’re in a good block of games now where they can build confidence and work themselves back into form.
Fremantle are resting Matthew Pavlich, and may leave one or two others behind. They are going to get a win sooner rather than later, and chances are they’ll be the underdog when they do. Given the Hawks aren’t going well, it may be this week, but the Launceston factor counts against.
With Sam Mitchell back, the Hawks still have a class edge in the middle, and more options up forwards against a Docker line-up that can’t defend for four quarters, but it shouldn’t be a one-act affair.
B: T.Duryea, J.Frawley, B.Stratton
HB: S.Burgoyne, J.Gibson, G.Birchall
C: B.Hill, J.Lewis, W.Langford
HF: L.Breust, J.Gunston, I.Smith
F: P.Puopolo, T.O’Brien, J.Ceglar
Foll: B.McEvoy, S.Mitchell, L.Shiels
I/C: K.Brand, D.Howe, B.Hartung, J.Sicily
Emg: A.Litherland, K.Lovell, D.Willsmore
Ins: J.Frawley, S.Mitchell
Outs: C.Rioli (family illness), K.Lovell (omitted)
B: C.Pearce, A.Pearce, L.Spurr
HB: D.Pearce, G.Ibbotson, T.Sheridan
C: C.Sutcliffe, N.Suban, C.Blakely
HF: H.Crozier, C.Mayne, S.Hill
F: M.Walters, M.Taberner, H.Ballantyne
Foll: J.Griffin, D.Mundy, L.Neale
I/C: L.Weller, Z.Clarke, E.Hughes, E.Langdon
Emg: M.deBoer, T.Mzungu, Z.Dawson
Ins: C.Pearce, Z.Clarke, E.Langdon
Outs: Z.Dawson (omitted), M.Barlow (omitted), M.Pavlich (rested)