AFL Live Geelong Cats vs North Melbourne Kangaroos Stream AFL 2016 Seasons Week 12 match will be kick off at Etihad Stadium, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Saturday 11 June 2016 online, 19.25 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
Two top four sides square off in the match of the round, with plenty at stake.
Geelong’s form has fluctuated wildly over the last month, unexpected losses to inferior sides like Collingwood and Carlton sandwiched between a triumphant win in Adelaide over the Crows and a strong win against the Giants last week.
North bounced back from their first loss, to Sydney at the SCG, with a demolition job against Richmond to entrench their top two spot for a few weeks more. Prior to the Swans win, they had taken care of minnows like Carlton, Essendon and St Kilda.
Geelong and North are split 5-5 over their last 10 meetings, with the Roos up 3-2 at Etihad in that time. North have won their last three clashes by increasing margins – 6, 16 and 41 points.
The Cats have lost their last three matches at Etihad, starting favourite each time. They are 33% ATS and 33% at the under at the venue since the start of 2014.
North is +12% POT and 54% ATS at Etihad going back to 2014. When starting $2 or under, they drop to -3% and 50% ATS. The Roos have won nine of their last ten at the ground.
In his last three games against the Kangaroos, Dangerfield has struggled, not registering one Fantasy ton. Joel Selwood ($4.50) will be my pick here then. He loves playing the Roos and carries a lowest score of 94 against them in his last 12 games. He topped scored last week with 111 and came home like a freight train scoring 55 in the final term. He’s also paying $8 to have the most tackles, and claimed 7 of those last week as well.
North have quietly become Etihad specialists, somewhat in the shadow of the Western Bulldogs, while Geelong have not played the venue well in recent times. There doesn’t appear to be much between the top eight sides this year, and home ground advantage has proven decisive.
The Roos are coming off their best win, and if they bring the same sharpness as they did last week, which should be easier at Etihad, their forward options will trouble the Cats defence as they have in the past.
Geelong will miss Tom Hawkins, and need to find more goals from Patrick Dangerfield and Joel Selwood, as well as Steven Motlop to recapture his best form.
B: A.Mackie, T.Lonergan, H.Taylor
HB: C.Enright, L.Henderson, T.Ruggles
C: J.Murdoch, J.Selwood, M.Blicavs
HF: M.Duncan, R.Stanley, S.Motlop
F: J.Bartel, S.Kersten, D.Menzel
Foll: Z.Smith, C.Guthrie, P.Dangerfield
Inter: J.Caddy, J.Kolodjashnij, L.McCarthy, D.Lang
Emg: J.Bews, C.Gregson, N.Vardy
OUT: T.Hawkins (suspended)
North Melbourne Kangaroos:
B: S.Thompson, R.Tarrant, A.Mullett
HB: S.Atley, M.Firrito, J.Macmillan
C: B.McKenzie, D.Wells, B.Harvey
HF: J.Ziebell, J.Waite, N.Dal Santo
F: S.Gibson, D.Petrie, L.Thomas
Foll: T.Goldstein, A.Swallow, B.Cunnington
Int: L.McDonald, M.Wood, B.Brown, R.Nahas
Emg: M.Daw, C.Wagner, F.Ray
Ins A.Mullett, T.Goldstein
Outs S.Wright (ankle), M.Daw