AFL Live Geelong Cats vs West Coast Eagles Stream AFL Football 2016 Online, AFL Round 07 Match will be kick off at Simonds Stadium, South Geelong, Victoria, Australia, Saturday 07 May 2016 online, 14.10 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
Geelong want to continue their winning ways, and West Coast need to prove themselves away from home.
Geelong continue their rotation strategy, shifting out Nathan Vardy, Jake Kolodjashnij and Jed Bews, either omitted or rested depending on who you ask. Like-for-like replacements are Rhys Stanley, Andrew Mackie, and Tom Ruggles.
West Coast make the one change, welcoming back on of their young stars Elliott Yeo for the injured Sam Butler.
Geelong have put together four wins on the trot, but haven’t been unduly tested in any of them, against opposition not expected to figure in finals calculations. Their last seven quarters of football, against Port and Gold Coast, has been dominant, scoring 40.25.265 to 10.13.73.
West Coast are sitting with a 4-2 record; all four wins coming at Domain Stadium against weak opposition, and both losses coming on the road against strong opponents. They got off to a flyer against Collingwood last week, and then responded well when challenged.
We won’t get Joel Selwood at $6.50 like last week to have the most touches, but at $4.75 he’s still a bargain. He has averaged 30 over the last month and the majority of his touches are handballs so let’s look at that as well. Wowzers… Paying $6 to lead this group is where you’ll find more value. ‘Handball Happy’ Joel had 18 last week and has been in double figures in all but one game this year.
Geelong have won seven of their last ten against West Coast, including three wins at Simonds Stadium by an average margin of 73 points.
The Cats are 19 from 21 at Simonds Stadium against non-Victorian sides, at +19% POT and 57% ATS. Before last week, they’d won two matches by 100+ points since 2012, and lost their next match both times.
West Coast are 11 from 23 interstate under Adam Simpson, at -6% POT, 48% ATS and 70% at the under. But when they are $2.60 or greater on the road, they are +82% POT and 60% ATS.
An important match-for both sides – Geelong get their chance to claim the scalp of a fellow likely finalist for only the second time this year, while West Coast’s abysmal record on the road against quality sides has been spoken about at length.
The Cats should win the midfield battle and get the game played on their terms for the most part, but if the Eagles truly come to play, they’ve got the weapons to do damage up forward.
Geelong look too solid being led by Dangerfield and Selwood, and their recent form is too irresistible to ignore, but it shouldn’t be one-way traffic.
B: H.Taylor, T.Lonergan, C.Enright
HB: M.Blicavs, L.Henderson, J.Bartel
C: A.Mackie, J.Selwood, M.Duncan
HF: L.McCarthy, S.Kersten, S.Motlop
F: J.Caddy, T.Hawkins, R.Stanley
Foll: Z.Smith, C.Guthrie, P.Dangerfield
I/C: N.Cockatoo, D.Lang, D.Menzel, T.Ruggles
EMG: G.Horlin-Smith, J.Kolodjashnij, N.Vardy
INS: A.Mackie, R.Stanley, T.Ruggles
OUTS: J.Kolodjashnij, J.Bews, N.Vardy
West Coast Eagles:
B: W.Schofield, E.MacKenzie, B.Sheppard
HB: S.Wellingham, J.McGovern, S.Hurn
C: A.Gaff, M.Priddis, J.Redden
HF: E.Yeo, J.Darling, C.Masten
F: M.LeCras, J.Kennedy, J.Hill
Foll: N.Naitanui, M.Hutchings, L.Shuey
I/C: J.Cripps, L.Duggan, L.Jetta, S.Lycett
EMG: T.Cole, J.Nelson, P.McGinnity