AFL Live Gold Coast Suns vs Fremantle Dockers Stream AFL 2016 Seasons Week 18 match will be kick off at Carrara Stadium, Carrara, Queensland, Australia, Saturday 23 July 2016 online, 14.10 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
Wins have been hard to come by for both sides, and both are struggling to put their best side on the park.
Gold Coast have been in solid form over their last five games, pushing Richmond and Hawthorn on the road, before securing wins over Brisbane and St Kilda at home. Last week, they were outclassed but honest against the Dogs.
Fremantle put in their best performance for a month against Geelong, with the game in the balance late in the last term. Their two matches surrounding the bye were among their worst of the year, losing to Collingwood and Melbourne either side of it.
Fremantle won their first five matches against Gold Coast, but the Suns beat the Dockers for the first time in Round 2 earlier this year.
Gold Coast have had more games go over the total match score than any side this year. The Suns have won four of eight matches at Metricon, as opposed to one of eight away from there.
Fremantle have one win from eight road matches this year, at -79% POT and 38% ATS. They have only won one of their last 10 interstate matches.
Firstly, I can’t believe that the Suns ($1.70) are favourites here in a game I think they will be beaten by 25+ points by the Dockers ($4.50). No Ablett, Hall, Risky-telly and Prestia means their midfield will struggle and therefore Lachie Neale doing what he pleases through the middle. Neale is $1.50 to have the most touches ($1.40 over 30) and will have enough to win this by half time. Jesse Lonergan will play a fair bit more midfield now and therefore this tackling beast ($4.75) will get busy and will potentially push double figures in a weak field where Chris Mayne is the favourite ($3.30).
This match has become survival of the fittest, given both sides are missing about 8 of the first choice players, including their very best prime movers.
The Suns have had a good five weeks, while the Dockers have varied in performance. Both teams rely heavily on effort given they have so much class missing from the side, and when they drop away, as they have each done at different stages this year, they’ve been opened up.
If both sides bring effort, the Suns have more weapons up forward, and a defence that can contain Freo’s forwards, missing Ballantyne and Pavlich now, but it’s hard to step into short odds on them.
Gold Coast Suns:
B: N.Malceski, S.May, K.Kolodjashnij
HB: J.Harbrow, R.Thompson, A.Sexton
C: J.Schoenfeld, J.Lonergan, M.Shaw
HF: B.Matera, T.Lynch, J.Grant
F: S.Day, P.Wright, R.Davis
Foll: T.Nicholls, J.Martin, T.Miller
I/C: M.Rosa, C.Ah Chee, J.Joyce, J.Garlett
Emerg: M.Hallahan, T.McKenzie, S.Tape
Ins: J.Schoenfeld, M.Rosa
Outs: A.Hall (hamstring), M.Hallahan
B: G.Ibbotson, Z.Dawson, C.Sutcliffe
HB: S.Hill, S.Collins, L.Spurr
C: D.Pearce, L.Neale, H.Crozier
HF: T.Mzungu, C.Mayne, M.Walters
F: S.Yarran, M.Taberner, L.Weller
Foll: J.Griffin, D.Mundy, N.Suban
I/C: T.Sheridan, C.Blakely, Z.Clarke, E.Langdon
Emerg: M.de Boer, D.Tucker, J.Deluca
Ins: S.Yarran, Z.Clarke, E.Langdon
Outs: M.Pavlich (rested), H.Ballantyne (facial fracture), M.Barlow (AJ joint)