AFL Live Gold Coast Suns vs St Kilda Saints Stream AFL 2016 Seasons Week 15 match will be kick off at Metricon Stadium, Gold Coast, Carrara, Queensland, Australia, Saturday 02 July 2016 online, 13.40 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
Gold Coast will relish being back at home with a winnable game, while the Saints are in the best form of any bottom ten side.
Gold Coast are on a 10 match losing streak, but their recent form has been an improvement on what we’d previously seen – the Suns were up at half time against Hawthorn and held a three quarter time lead against Richmond, before going down.
St Kilda are coming off one of the wins of the season, having taken down a hot Geelong against all odds. This meant back-to-back wins after they took care of Carlton pre-bye, and they have now won four of their last five.
St Kilda leads 5-3 in the head-to-head matches between the two, but Gold Coast is 3-2 since the start of 2013.
Gold Coast is +20% POT and 54% ATS at Metricon over the last five years, against -56% and 39% ATS away from their home ground. The Suns have started $2 or less five times at Metricon under Rodney Eade for -23% POT, 40% ATS and 80% at the over.
St Kilda have won 2 of 19 on the road under Alan Richardson at 26% ATS, and have lost their last eight in a row interstate, covering the line in two of them.
Last week when St Kilda won, Seb Ross tagged Dangerfield and restricted him to under 30 touches for the first time in a month. Ross still managed 33 touches himself and this week he will go to Ablett. Ross is paying $5.50 for most touches and definitely needs to be looked at. Nick Riewoldt should have a field day against one of the easiest teams to score Fantasy points against and is at great odds of $3.75. In his career he has played them seven times, and has scored 125+ on three occasions.
St Kilda is playing the best football they’ve put together under Alan Richardson, off the back of high pressure, quick ball movement looking to the middle where possible, and marking forwards tough to match up on.
The tough ask for the Saints is to back up with the same intensity they showed against Geelong, which young sides often fail to do, and being such a poor travelling side is another knock they need to overcome.
Gold Coast are in reasonable form, and will relish being back at home after two solid, but non-winning performances on the road. Gary Ablett is back to his best, and Tom Lynch will be hard to stop.
As a betting proposition, you’d take the underdog that has won four out of five rather than the favourite that has lost ten in a row, regardless of venue.
Gold Coast Suns:
B: J.Martin, S.May, K.Kolodjashnij
HB: J.Harbrow, R.Thompson, A.Sexton
C: N.Malceski, M.Rischitelli, M.Rosa
HF: B.Matera, T.Lynch, T.Miller
F: S.Day, P.Wright, R.Davis
R: T.Nicholls, G.Ablett, D.Prestia
I/C: C.Ah Chee, M.Shaw, A.Hall, J.Joyce
EMG: J.Grant, M.Hallahan, J.Lonergan
IN: J.Martin, K.Kolodjashnij, C.Ah Chee
OUT: J.Grant (Omitted), T.McKenzie (Quad), M.Hallahan (Omitted)
St Kilda Saints:
B: J.Geary, L.Delaney, D.Roberton
HB: J.Newnes, S.Gilbert, S.Savage
C: M.Weller, D.Armitage, L.Montagna
HF: T.Membrey, N.Riewoldt, D.Minchington
F: J.Gresham, J.Bruce, P.McCartin
R: T.Hickey, S.Ross, J.Steven
I/C: L.Dunstan, B.Acres, T.Lee, J.Lonie
EMG: E.Templeton, B.Murdoch, J.Holmes
IN: T.Lee, J.Lonie
OUT: J.Webster (Hamstring), N.Wright (Shoulder)