Watch AFL Final Hawthorn Hawks vs West Coast Eagles Live Stream Free AFL Grand Final Live Stream Online Free AFL Football Final 2015 Online, AFL Grand Finals Hawthorn Hawks vs West Coast Eagles Match will be kick off at Melbourne Cricket Ground Stadium (MCG), Melbourne, Victoria, Australia Saturday 03 October 2015 online, 14.30 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
The Hawthorn Hawks are only one win away on becoming fourth team in VFL/AFL history to win three consecutive premierships. The Eagles will be confident after beating Hawthorn in the qualifying final and are out to win their first grand final since 2006 and the fourth in their history.
There is likely to be only one change for both of these sides with Hawks forward Jack Gunston set to be recalled. Having injured his ankle against West Coast, Gunston missed the preliminary final but should return if he gets through training. Ryan Schoenmakers is likely to be the unlucky person to miss out. For the Eagles, Pat McGinnity, Scott Selwood and Scott Lycett are likely to be the emergencies.
The West Coast Eagles trounced the Hawks by 32-points in the first qualifying final this year thanks to some insane pressure around the ball and an ability to deny the Hawks uncontested marks. Josh Hill, Josh Kennedy, Mark LeCras and Jamie Cripps all chipped in with multiple goals whilst Matt Rosa and Shannon Hurn had 26-disposals each. The Eagles were missing Chris Masten and Matt Priddis from their midfield. The Eagles kept the Hawks goal-less in the second term whilst kicking five thsmelves. For the Hawks, Sam Mitchell had a game-high 35 touches whilst Jarryd Roughead kicked two goals and that had poor games from Frawley, Gunston (pre-injury), Duryea, Burgoyne and Breust.
The West Coast Eagles found the recipe to beat Hawthorn by denying them uncontested marks in their qualifying final match-up. Hawthorn’s three most recent defeats have been when they have a -16 uncontested marks differential. That requires West Coast to deliver extreme frontal pressure on a consistent basis which is a bit harder to execute on the wider confines of the MCG. Both Hawthorn and West Coast were dominant after slow starts in their preliminary finals. Their defences have both lifted in the past five weeks with Hawthorn conceding an average of 68.4-points and West Coast just 50-points against in the past three games.
Sam Mitchell vs Matt Priddis – Eagles coach Adam Simpson said before the qualifying final that they would not tag Sam Mitchell and he had 35 touches. He is averaging 34 disposals per game in the finals and is poised to go head to head against the Eagles dynamo Matt Priddis. He had 33 touches in their win over Sydney last year.
Josh Kennedy vs Brian Lake – The Coleman Medallist comes up against a Grand Final specialist of recent times. Lake won the Norm Smith for his job against Matthew Pavlich and co in 2013 whilst he had 20 disposals and seven marks against the Swans last year. Josh Kennedy has kicked 17.5 goals in his last four games against the Hawks. If Lake can keep him to two or less then that will go a long way towards a Hawthorn victory.
Hawthorn and West Coast have played 45 times with the Eagles leading 25-20. The Hawks have won six out of the last eight games and were on a five game winning streak before losing to the Eagles last month. Since 2010, Hawthorn is 6-3 (5-4 against the line) vs West Coast. West Coast is 3-8 (7-4 against the line) at the MCG since the start of 2011 having played only once at the home of football in 2015. The Hawks are 29-7 (18-18 ATL) at the ‘G since the start of 2013 – they are 8-3 (5-6 against the line) at the MCG this year. The Hawks are 12-6 in Grand Finals having won six of their last seven and three of their last four. Since 2012, they are 2-1 (2-1 against the line) in season deciders. The Eagles are 3-2 in Grand Finals last having played in one when they were victorious in 2006. Jarryd Roughead has kicked 19.9 goals in his last five games against the Eagles. Mark LeCras and Josh Kennedy have kicked the first goal in four different games this year. Andrew Gaff and Matt Priddis have had the most disposals in six games this season whilst Sam Mitchell has topped the stat sheet in 11 games this season. The Hawks are 11-3 (10-4 against the line) in day games in the past two seasons. The Eagles are 8-3 both head to head and ATL in day games this year. Five of their last eight games have totalled under 166-points. Seven of the past 11 Grand Finals have finished with a total score of less than 173-points. Alastair Clarkson-coached Grand Final sides have scored an average of 102.5 points whilst conceded just 79 in their four deciders.
Since 2011, only 16 of the last 44 finals have totalled over 190-points. Favourites are 23-12 (16-18 against the line) in the finals in the last three years. Since 2012, 30 of the last 36 finals have finished with a 1-39 margin. Five of the eight finals this year have totalled under 162-points. Since 2010, the Hawks are 11-5 (9-7 against the line) in finals. Since 2010, the Eagles are 4-3 (4-3 against the line) in the finals.
Provided by champion data. Both the Hawthorn Hawks and West Coast Eagles are 18-3 when up by two or more goals this season. Whilst if they are trailing by the same margin, Hawthorn is 5-7 whilst the Eagles are 4-4. The Hawks are 16-1 when leading by four goals or more this season whilst the Eagles are 16-0. Both sides have not won when trailing by four goals this season. When trailing at quarter-time this season, the Hawks are 4-5 whilst the Eagles are 5-4. The Hawks are 1-6 when down at half-time whilst the Eagles are 3-3. The Eagles have not won when trailing at the final change this year (0-3 with one draw) whilst the Hawks are 1-5. When trailing at half-time, the Hawks Josh Kennedy has kicked a bag of three goals in eight different games this year, the Eagles have won seven of them.
The Hawthorn Hawks are chasing immortality; a third straight premiership and a fourth since their 2008 triumph and The Wolf thinks they will succeed! They will need to produce a much better effort than their qualifying final loss to the Eagles but are well acquipped to do so. West Coast will not be able to successfully execute their full ground press on the wider expanses of the MCG, a ground which Hawthorn plays so well. The Wolf knows that Hawthorn will not be over-awed by the occasion but does hold some fear for some young Eagles players. A forward line of Rioli, Breust, Gunston, Puopolo and Roughead is made for Grand Finals whilst Hodge and Mitchell will lead from the middle. James Frawley will spend the entire game in defence unlike in the qualifying final when he was unsuccessfully deployed up forward and that will help curtail Kennedy, Darling and Sinclair. History says that although the conditions are expected to be perfect for the Grand Final, that they are tight, low scoring affair so the unders is also a bet.
B: B.Stratton, B.Lake, J.Frawley
HB: G.Birchall, J.Gibson, S.Burgoyne
C: B.Hill, S.Mitchell, L.Shiels
HF: C.Rioli, R.Schoenmakers, I.Smith
F: L.Bruest, J.Roughead, P.Puopolo
Foll: B.McEvoy, L.Hodge, J.Lewis
Inter: M.Suckling, T.Duryea, D.Hale, J.Gunston
Emerg: J.Ceglar, A.Litherland, B.Hartung
In: Jack Gunston
Out: Billy Hartung (omitted)
West Coast Eagles:
B: S.Wellingham, W.Schofield, S.Hurn
HB: X.Ellis, J.McGovern, B.Sheppard
C: M.Rosa, M.Priddis, E.Yeo
HF: A.Gaff, J.Darling, J.Cripps
F: M.LeCras, J.Kennedy, J.Hill
Foll: N.Naitanui, D.Sheed, L.Shuey
Inter: C.Masten, C.Sinclair, M.Hutchings, S.Butler
Emer: P.McGinnity, S.Selwood, S.Lycett
In:/Out: No changes