AFL Live Hawthorn Hawks vs St Kilda Saints Stream AFL Football 2016 Online, AFL Round 04 Match will be kick off at Aurora Stadium, Launceston, Tasmania, Australia, Saturday 16 April 2016 online, 14.10 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
Hawthorn gets their easiest match-up of the season so far, and St Kilda their hardest.
Hawthorn loses Josh Gibson to hamstring tightness, which is a pseudonym for being rested, but has a fair replacement in Luke Hodge. Ryan Schoenmakers and Jonathon O’Rourke are also out. In come Tim O’Brien and Daniel Howe.
St Kilda have lost three to injury, Dylan Roberton, Luke Dunstan and Jimmy Webster. The replacements are Tom Lee (in for his first match since Round 14, 2014) Blake Acres and Eli Templeton.
Hawthorn are in the unusual position of having beaten off their two most likely threats for the flag, West Coast and Western Bulldogs, giving them a 2-1 win-loss record after two rounds, yet still sit outside the eight. The Hawks couldn’t get the game played on their terms in Round 1 against Geelong, did exactly that against the Eagles, and then had to rely on last gasp heroics to defeat the Dogs.
St Kilda have been playing well enough for the level they are at, and got the deserved win against Collingwood by applying pressure and exposing the skill weakness of the Pies. Prior to that they couldn’t match the Dogs at Etihad, and ran out of legs against Port.
Hawthorn are 2-1 ATS and 2-1 at the over to open the season. St Kilda are 1-2 ATS and 1-2 at the under in this tie. In thmeir last 15 games at Aurora Stadium, the Hawks are 73% ATS and 40% at the under. St Kilda’s last 29 interstate matches have seen them run at a lowly 34% ATS and 34% at the under. Hawthorn have won their last five against the Saints, by an average of 64 points.
Hawthorn doesn’t usually muck around in their Tasmania games, often putting much better sides than the Saints to the sword. It’s like they want to present the best version of themselves to a place that has put a lot of faith and money into supporting them.
We saw last week that there isn’t much between the Hawks and the Dogs at the present time, and we also saw what the Dogs did to St Kilda prior to that. A similar scenario to that Round 2 game should play out here – the Saints will try hard, but be ultimately outclassed. There will be no disgrace in a 10-12 goal loss, but it could even be more than that.
B: B.Stratton, J.Frawley, T.Duryea
HB: S.Burgoyne, A.Litherland, G.Birchall
C: L.Shiels, J.Lewis, I.Smith
HF: L.Breust, T.O’Brien, P.Puopolo
F: J.Sicily, J.Gunston, C.Rioli
FOLL: B.McEvoy, S.Mitchell, L.Hodge
I/C: D.Howe, J.Ceglar, B.Hartung, W.Langford
EMG: D.Willsmore, K.Lovell, K.Brand
IN: T.O’Brien, L.Hodge, D.Howe
OUT: R.Schoenmakers (Groin), J.Gibson (Hamstring), J.O’Rourke (Omitted)
St Kilda Saints:
B: J.Geary, S.Fisher, T.Lee
HB: J.Newnes, S.Dempster, S.Gilbert
C: L.Montagna, D.Armitage, S.Savage
HF: M.Weller, N.Riewoldt, J.Billings
F: J.Lonie, J.Bruce, P.McCartin
FOLL: T.Hickey, S.Ross, J.Steven
I/C: E.Templeton, B.Acres, J.Sinclair, D.Minchington
EMG: B.Longer, J.Gresham, T.Membrey
IN: T.Lee, E.Templeton, B.Acres
OUT: D.Roberton (Knee), L.Dunstan (Hamstring), J.Webster (Quad)