AFL Live Melbourne Demons vs Port Adelaide Power Stream AFL Football 2016 Online, AFL Round 10 Match will be kick off at Traeger Park, Alice Springs, The Gap, Australia, Saturday 28 May 2016 online, 14.10 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
Both sides are sitting just outside the eight, and can’t afford to drop this if hoping to play finals.
Melbourne have had a good three weeks, punishing strugglers like Gold Coast and Brisbane, and being outclassed by a Bulldogs outfit that is a level above them. They are still a young side, but their consistency is improving.
Port have dropped games to Carlton and West Coast in the last fortnight, which came off the back of wins over Richmond and Brisbane. Any thought that they were “back” has quickly been dispelled. They are still a team of momentum rather than consistency.
Port have won the last six matches against Melbourne, with three of them being in the Northern Territory, two of them at this ground. The Power started favourite in all three of the NT matches.
Melbourne has two wins from 15 attempts interstate under Paul Roos, at -15% POT and 46% ATS. Four of their five wins this year have been as underdogs.
The Power are +15% POT and 54% ATS when interstate under Ken Hinkley, and are +38% POT and 67% ATS when starting $2 or more under these circumstances. 72% of these matches have gone over.
Max Gawn is coming off Fantasy scores of 47 and 59 but put that aside because against Port’s Trengrove, he’ll be massive. Last week, Eagle’s ruck duo Lycett (136) and Nic Naitanui (109) absolutely smashed Tregrove winning 71 hit outs to 13. Max is short at $3.25 but should win this one with ease. Robbie Gray is back from injury and at $5 he’s worth a look in the handball market. He has had 17, 14 and 19 in his last three games when he wasn’t injured and will rack them up against the Dees.
Melbourne are coming off a bruise-free and confidence building victory over the Lions, while Port are having to back up off a tough encounter against the Eagles, and their respective build-ups may prove crucial to the outcome.
The Demons have played the more consistent football of the two sides, their best in 2016 has been better than what Port has produced, and their worst is better too. They deserve favouritism for all these reasons.
Melbourne should get first use of the ball through Max Gawn, and their midfield should be able to pressure Port’s gun players enough to get the job done.
B: J.Wagner, T.McDonald, N.Jetta
HB: T.Bugg, O.McDonald, C.Garland
C: B.Stretch, D.Tyson, B.Vince
HF: D.Kent, J.Watts, J.Garlett
F: C.Petracca, J.Hogan, B.Kennedy
Foll: M.Gawn, N.Jones, J.Viney
Int: B.Newton, J.Hunt, A.Neal-Bullen, J.Harmes
Emg: C.Dawes, V.Michie, J.Grimes
INS: N.Jetta, D.Tyson
OUTS: C.Oliver (quad), V.Michie (omitted)
Port Adelaide Power:
B: D.Byrne-Jones, J.Hombsch, J.Pittard
HB: N.Krakouer, C.O’Shea, M.Broadbent
C: J.Polec, O.Wines, B.Ebert
HF: J.Neade, J.Westhoff, H.Hartlett
F: A.Young, C.Dixon, C.Wingard
Foll: J.Trengove, T.Boak, R.Gray
Int: P.Stewart, K.Amon, J.Impey, D.Howard
Emerg: L.Austin, B.Ah Chee, S.Gray
OUTS: T.Jonas (suspension)