AFL Live Port Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs Stream AFL Football 2016 Online, AFL Round 12 Match will be kick off at Adelaide Oval Stadium, North Adelaide, South Australia, Australia, Saturday 11 June 2016 online, 13:40 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
Port are making their move towards the top eight, but the Dogs stand in their way.
Port has put together two strong away wins against Melbourne and Collingwood, teams that are in the same position as them, vying for the title of best team outside the top eight. After pushing West Coast all the way in a tough match at home previously, they are to be taken seriously.
The Western Bulldogs have quietly won four of their last five, including some good scalps, despite missing some influential players and not quite playing their best football. The gap between their best and worst is arguably narrower than any other side.
The Bulldogs have won eight of the last ten against Port, but the Dogs have been the home side in seven of those matches, and the figure is 2-2 since Ken Hinkley took over the Power. Port has won both meetings at this venue, by 72 and 38 points.
The Dogs have played seven interstate matches under Luke Beveridge, winning twice at +6% POT, but failing to cover the line in their five losses.
Port is -9% POT and 58% ATS at Adelaide Oval, but these figures rise to +8% POT and 65% ATS against Victorian sides.
The markets are heavy on the Bulldogs players here and with Port favourites to win, I’ll be chasing some value. Sam Gray ($6.50) to lead group B is super value. He’s fighting for his spot in the team right now and will give this one a shake. In the Fantasy market, Jack Macrae ($4.50) is worth a crack as well. He’s coming off games of 126 and 139, and even had 130 on the Power last time he played them at Adelaide Oval.
The Western Bulldogs don’t have the most flattering away record under Luke Beveridge, but the 2016 AFL season has seen a clear gap between the sides occupying the top eight positions and the rest of the competition, which makes the Dogs enormous value here.
Port have appeared to have their mojo back a couple of times this season, only to follow it up with disappointing losses, and the Dogs defence won’t allow the Power the types of easy goals that have been a trademark of their wins.
The Dogs consistency, plus their ability to handle any Port momentum, should see them come out on top.
B: D.Byrne-Jones, L.Austin, J.Pittard
HB: M.Broadbent, C.O’Shea, N.Krakouer
C: S.Gray, O.Wines, B.Ebert
HF: J.Neade, J.Westhoff, H.Hartlett
F: A.Young, C.Dixon, C.Wingard
Foll: J.Trengove, T.Boak, R.Gray
Int: P.Stewart, J.Polec, J.Impey, D.Howard
Emg: K.Amon, S.Colquhoun, B.Ah Chee
B: M.Boyd, F.Roberts, D.Morris
HB: S.Biggs, M.Adams, M.Suckling
C: L.Hunter, T.Liberatore, T.Dickson
HF: L.Picken, J.Stringer, L.Dahlhaus
F: T.Campbell, J.Redpath, C.Daniel
Foll: J.Roughead, J.Macrae, M.Bontempelli
Int: M.Wallis, J.Dunkley, M.Honeychurch, B.Williams
Emg: D.Hamilton, J.Hamling, L.Jong
OUT: T.McLean (foot)