AFL Live St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans Stream AFL 2016 Seasons Week 21 match will be kick off at Etihad Stadium, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Saturday 13 August 2016 online, 19.25 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
St Kilda’s season is still alive, and Sydney won’t want to take them lightly.
St Kilda dispelled any doubts about their form away from Etihad Stadium with an authoritative 71 point MCG win over Carlton last week, bouncing back from a loss to North. Prior to that, they had won three in a row.
Sydney have put together three wins in a row, all against sides outside the eight in Port, Fremantle and Carlton, each one better than the last. They have clicked into gear the last two in particular, kicking 35 goals to 11 in that time.
Sydney have won five in a row over St Kilda, and seven of their last eight meetings. The Swans last three winning margins against the Saints have been 97, 71 and 59 points. Sydney have lost five times as favourite this year, St Kilda have won six matches as underdog, both league highs.
St Kilda are eight wins from 12 matches at Etihad this season, and have won seven of their last eight there. They are +15% POT and 58% ATS there, as opposed to -42% POT and 57% ATS elsewhere.
Sydney have won six from eight interstate this year, at +24% POT and 63% ATS. Six of those eight games have gone over total match points. They have won their last nine matches at Etihad, dating back to Rd 11, 2012, covering the line in eight of those wins.
WOW… ok, claim down. I hope you’re sitting down for this, but Tom Mitchell is paying $10 to have the most Fantasy points and it’s a real chance of happening. Last week he had 139 and this week he’s at Etihad Stadium, a ground he has scored 143 and 142 at in his last two runs. He plays the Saints, a team that gave up heaps of uncontested points last week to the Blues. Simpson (135), Cripps (131) and Docherty (120) all had a field day, despite their loss. Get on!
Sydney have handed St Kilda some whipping the last few times they’ve met, but this is a different Saints outfit, playing bold and confident football, which is precisely the style that can bring the Swans undone.
The Saints tall forwards will test Sydney’s defence in a similar way to GWS and Richmond both did when defeating the Swans, and the fast track at Etihad will mean the ball is going in at pace.
Sydney are also in peak form though, and ever professional against lower sides for the most part, with a great Etihad record. They should be too professional to drop this one, but the Saints will give them a fright.
St Kilda Saints:
B: D.Roberton, S.Fisher, S.Dempster
HB: J.Newnes, S.Gilbert, J.Geary
C: L.Montagna, D.Armitage, B.Acres
HF: M.Weller, N.Riewoldt, J.Billings
F: T.Membrey, J.Bruce, J.Gresham
Foll: T.Hickey, S.Ross, J.Steven
I/C: S.Savage, P.McCartin, N.Wright, D.Minchington
EMG: D.McKenzie, C.Shenton, J.Holmes
Out: L.Dunstan (Shoulder)
B: C.Mills, A.Aliir, N.Smith
HB: D.Rampe, H.Grundy, J.McVeigh
C: I.Heeney, J.Kennedy, J.Lloyd
HF: T.Mitchell, L.Franklin, D.Hannebery
F: G.Hewett, G.Rohan, D.Towers
Foll: S.Naismith, K.Jack, L.Parker
I/C: H.Cunningham, T.Nankervis, T.Papley, X.Richards
EMG: J.Foote, H.Marsh, B.McGlynn