AFL Live Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane Lions Stream AFL Football 2016 Online, AFL Round 05 Match will be kick off at Etihad Stadium, Melbourne, Victoria , Australia, Saturday 23 April 2016 online, 19.25 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
The Bulldogs are in form but injury-cursed, while Brisbane may now have the confidence that only winning can provide.
The Dogs have made four changes to a winning side. Jason Johannison is lost off the half-back flank due to a serious hamstring injury, but All-Australian Easton Wood is a natural replacement. Tom Campbell replaces the injured Tom Boyd for key forward and back-up ruck duties. Tory Dickson is back for his first match of the season, and will be a handful in front of goal.
Brisbane welcomes back Tom Rockliff, at the expense of the out-of-contract Sam Mayes, who has underwhelmed since a promising debut season.
The Western Bulldogs are 3-1, but it must be noted their three wins have come over Fremantle, St Kilda and Carlton, who have a collective one win between them this season. The Dogs did just enough against the Blues to keep them at arm’s length after losing players to injury.
Brisbane hadn’t been playing as badly as their first three losses had indicated, and they deserved to get their win against Gold Coast. They’re trying to play an attacking brand of football, which leaves them vulnerable to being scored against.
Brisbane has a 6-4 edge over the Dogs in their last ten matches, but the record is 4-2 the Dogs way at Etihad.
The Dogs are 67% ATS and 63% at the under since Luke Beveridge took over as coach. These figures increase to 76% ATS and 65% at the under when at Etihad. Brisbane are 40% ATS under Justin Leppitsch, a figure that drop to 36% when interstate.
In the last five matches between the sides, the highest possession winner has been either Tom Rockliff or Jackson Macrae.
The Brisbane Lions are one of the easiest teams to score Fantasy points on so watch out for Lachie Hunter to cash in. He’s paying $3.50 to have the most points and $4 to have the most touches. Tom Rockliff returns this week and had 39 touches on the Bulldogs last year. Although he’s not listed in any group (good for Hunter), he is paying a massive $2.90 to collect the pill 30+ times.
Not most people’s first pick as the game they’re looking forward to the most this round, but the Dogs need to keep chalking up the wins in these sort of games while they are losing men by the week, and Brisbane need to continue to show progress.
Everyone is thinking of the Dogs as a free-running, high scoring team, but they’ve actually been strangling opposition sides with their defence and are actually only ranked 10th in scoring despite an easier draw.
Brisbane will find it hard to penetrate the Dogs defence, and with Dickson back to support Stringer, the Dogs should have too many options up forward. Expect a similar scoreline to what we’ve seen in the Dogs games against Fremantle, St Kilda and Carlton.
B: M.Boyd, M.Adams, D.Morris
HB: M.Suckling, E.Wood, S.Biggs
C: L.Hunter, T.Liberatore, T.Dickson
HF: L.Picken, T.Campbell, K.Stevens
F: L.Dahlhaus, J.Stringer, C.Daniel
Foll: J.Roughead, J.Macrae, M.Bontempelli
I/C: M.Wallis, B.Dale, J.Adcock, L.Jong
EMG: T.McLean, K.Collins, J.Redpath
INS: E.Wood, T.Dickson, T.Campbell, B.Dale
OUTS: T.Boyd (shoulder), J.Johannisen (hamstring), J.Hamling, T.McLean (rested)
B: D.Gardiner, D.Merrett, C.Beams
HB: R.Harwood, H.Andrews, T.Cutler
C: R.Lester, A.Christensen, D.Rich
HF: P.Hanley, T.Rockliff, R.Bewick
F: J.Walker, J.Schache, R.Bastinac
Foll: S.Martin, D.Zorko, M.Robinson
I/C: J.Green, T.Bell, L.Dawson, L.Taylor
EMG: D.McStay, S.Mayes, B.Evans