Australian Football League Live Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues Stream AFL 2015 Seasons Week 20 math will be kick off at Gabba Stadium, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia, Saturday 15 August 2015 online, 19.20 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
The Brisbane Lions went down to Gold Coast last week and can guarantee themselves the wooden spoon should they lose to the Blues. This is the battle for the number one draft pick, who wants it the most?
The Blues injury list sees as many as five of their best 22 miss this match whilst the Lions have as many as eight of their best 22 missing. For the Lions, Trent West and Tom Cutler come in and Justin Clarke and Rohan Bewick are out. Whilst the Blues are missing Simon White (knee), Levi Casboult (knee) and Cameron Wood from last week with Matthew Dick, David Ellard and Kristian Jaksch coming in.
The Lions have now lost a record 11 in a row but did manage to score 100-points for the first time this season last week. They are last on the ladder and rank 17th in points conceded and 18th in points scored this season. The Blues are 17th on the table with only three wins from 18 games. They rank 17th in scoring and 18th in points conceded this year. Carlton is 3-5 (6-2 against the line) against bottom ten teams this season. They average just 53 points in their last six games.
Carlton and Brisbane have played 28 times since the merger with the ledger squared at 14 a-piece. Carlton have won five of the last seven matches between the two sides though the Lions have won the last two when starting as outsiders. Since 2010, Carlton is 5-3 head-to-head and at the line against Brisbane. The Lions are 4-15 (8-11 against the line) at home in 2014-15. Carlton is 4-9 (5-8 against the line) when playing interstate since 2013 and have covered the line in their two interstate trips under John Barker. They are 3-2 (2-3 against the line) at the Gabba, since 2010. Nine of their last 10 match-ups have totalled over 182.5 points. Marc Murphy averages 33 touches in his last three games.
The Wolf does not have much time for this game with both teams very much looking for the finish line at this point of the season. Both teams performed better than their usual output last week and if conditions suit, there’s no reason why there won’t be plenty of points in this one such is their lack of quality defenders and midfield pressure. With nothing really between them, the Blues stand out as the value in a low-confidence play.
B: L.Dawson, D.Merrett, S.Mayes
HB: M.Paparone, H.Andrews, D.Rich
C: D.Zorko, J.Redden, L.Taylor
HF: A.Christensen, L.McGuane, J.Adcock
F: D.McStay, J.Freeman, T.West
Foll: S.Martin, T.Rockliff, P.Hanley
Inter: M.Robinson, T.Cutler, B.Evans, Z.O’Brien
Emer: J.Watts, M.Golby, H.Beasley
In: T.West, T.Cutler
Out: R.Bewick, J.Clarke
B: S.Rowe, M.Jamison, C.Smith
HB: D.Buckley, S.Docherty, Z.Tuohy
C: M.Whiley, A.Carrazzo, K.Simpson
HF: T.Bell, M.Dick, D.Ellard
Fo: L.Henderson, A.Everitt, A.Walker
Foll: M.Kreuzer, P.Cripps, M.Murphy
Inter: B.Boekhorst, E.Curnow, N.Holman, K.Jaksch
Emer: B.Johnson, B.Walsh, M.Watson
In: D.Ellard, M.Dick, K.Jaksch
Out: S.White (knee), L.Casboult (knee), C.Wood