Australian Football League Live Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows Stream AFL 2016 Seasons Week 07 match will be kick off at Etihad Stadium, Melbourne, Victoria,, Australia, Saturday 07 May 2016 online, 19.40 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Seven, Foxtell.
Clear match-of-the-round status and classic eight point game, where the carrot is a 5-2 record instead of 4-3.
The Bulldogs feel the need to go taller against Adelaide, so bring in Jack Redpath for Lin Jong, while the smart Caleb Daniel replaces the injured Koby Stevens.
Adelaide will sorely miss Rory Laird off half-back, but get an able replacement in Ricky Henderson. Brad Crouch is back for his first game in a month, hoping his body will hold up for us to see his undoubted talent week in, week out. He replaces Jarryd Lyons.
The Bulldogs have slowed off after being the hottest team in the competition to open the season, but have only narrowly lost two games to Hawthorn and North Melbourne amidst four comfortable wins. They’ve only covered the line once in their last four matches, indicating that they are slipping relative to expectation.
Adelaide have only lost to North and Hawthorn themselves, both in Melbourne, and return after seeing off a dogged Fremantle last week. A Round 4 win against Sydney stands as their best performance, but their form has been consistent.
After a huge knock to his head last week, Hunter suffered delayed concussion and therefore is too risky to punt on this week. Jack Macrae’s head is just fine though and is $5 to take out the many possession field. The bet of the game though is Scott Thompson at $4.50 to lead his group in handballs. Scottie loves nothing more than punching that ball off his fist, something he has done 17, 20 and 18 times in his last few games.
The Bulldogs lead 6-4 in the last ten meetings, but the two teams are 2-2 in their last four matches, all in Melbourne. Three of these four matches went to the over.
The Dogs have been the masters of Etihad under Luke Beveridge, winning 15 of 19 at +44% POT, 74% ATS and 68% at the under. Against interstate sides there, they are +89% POT but 50% ATS and at the under.
Adelaide are -1% POT and 75% ATS at Etihad from eight games (five wins) there since the start 2014, and 25% at the under. Their overall interstate record in this time is -34% POT and 44% ATS.
No team has been able to truly dent Adelaide’s offensive prowess this season, so the Dogs, with the best defence in the league, are going to have their hands full.
The Crows play Etihad well, and while they’ll miss Laird off half-back, they have enough runners to cover him, and Brad Crouch adds bite and ball-winning capacity to the midfield. The Dogs have been losing runners in recent times, and their structure will be compromised having to match the tall Adelaide forwards.
The Crows have been playing better recent football, and appeal as slightly over the odds, but the Dogs should be in the game the whole way.
B: M.Boyd, F.Roberts, D.Morris
HB: J.Adcock, M.Adams, E.Wood
C: L.Hunter, T.Liberatore, T.Dickson
HF: L.Picken, T.Campbell, J.Stringer
F: L.Dahlhaus, J.Redpath, T.McLean
Foll: J.Roughead, J.Macrae, M.Bontempelli
I/C: M.Wallis, S.Biggs, B.Dale, C.Daniel
EMG: Z.Cordy, J.Dunkley, M.Honeychurch
INS: J.Redpath, C.Daniel
OUTS: K.Stevens, L.Jong
B: L.Brown, D.Talia, J.Lever
HB: R.Henderson, K.Hartigan, B.Smith
C: D.Mackay, S.Thompson, P.Seedsman
HF: E.Betts, T.Lynch, M.McGovern
F: J.Jenkins, T.Walker, C.Cameron
Foll: S.Jacobs, R.Sloane, B.Crouch
I/C: R.Atkins, K.Cheney, R.Douglas, M.Crouch
EMG: N.Van Berlo, W.Milera, J.Lyons
INS: R.Henderson, B.Crouch
OUTS: R.Laird, J.Lyons